Hledat

Nabízíme

Sleva! The Black Swan Zobrazit větší

The Black Swan

Autor Nassim Nicholas Taleb
ISBN9780141034591
Typpaperback
VydavatelPenguin UK
Rok vydání2008
Počet stran480

skladem (ihned expedujeme)

339 KčNaše cena:

-15% 399 KčPůvodní cena:

Popis

From the critically acclaimed author of Fooled by Randomness, a book about the impact of improbable events on every aspect of life.

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ‘impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.

Více informací

Také doporučujeme

Ostatní produkty ve stejné kategorii